Financial Analysis – Week 13, 2021

Apr 07, 2021

Market overview





The Biden administration is proposing to increase corporate taxes from 21% to 28%, while for companies operating outside the U.S. a tax increase from 10.5% to 21% is proposed.

The Pentagon sent 300 tons of weapons to Ukraine.

New deliveries are being prepared.

Will the US administration push Ukraine into a conflict with Russia?


A mutated and more dangerous COVID virus has emerged in California.



On March 24, 2021, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed Presidential Decree No. 117/2021 that Crimea should be returned to Ukraine.

Political analysts in Moscow believe that Ukraine has de facto declared war on Russia.

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is pushing Ukraine into war with Russia.

Will Ukraine make a big mistake as Hungary did in 1956 when the United States pushed it into war with the USSR and left it stranded?


Russian politics

Russia is accumulating an army on the borders with Ukraine and the Baltic countries.


Russian banking

There are 1,500 counterfeit banks in Russia, which is 20% more than last year.

Russia has been trying to introduce its payment network in payment transactions with China since 2016, instead of SWIFT, but it is doing very poorly.

Last year, 2020, the ruble-yuan currency exchange amounted to only 3.3 billion dollars, while the trade exchange was 107.7 billion dollars.



Gold imports exploded at 160 tons in March, up 471% year-on-year.

For the first quarter (Q1) 2021, India imported 321t, whilst the previous year for the same period it was 124t.



Comparison of the money supply M2 of China and the USA.

In just 6 weeks in 2020, more money was injected into the system, the Fed bought more government bonds than 10 years ago.





High stock indexes continue:

DJ – 33,164

DAX – 15,265

S&P 500 – 4,071



After a speculative fall, gold is slowly recovering at $1,744 an ounce.

Gold remains highly valued like a stock that defends citizens’ savings.





Further underestimated the price of silver to $ 24.83 per ounce.



After falling on Monday, the price returned to $63.25 a barrel.

Talks with Iran have begun in Vienna over rescuing the nuclear program, under the auspices of the EU, while the United States is not participating.

The oil market is focused on this agreement.



The dollar is down slightly to 1.1822 per euro.


Russian ruble

The ruble weakened against the dollar – 76.3195.

It also weakened against the euro – 90.1625.

The Ministry of Finance is buying currencies and a further decline in the ruble is expected.



Slight growth to $58,423.

Some economic analysts say that Bitcoin will rise, in a few years, to a million dollars.

The demand is huge, but there is not enough Bitcoin and the price is rising.

This shows all the absurdity of Bitcoin, which has no foundation in real economic parameters.



Branko Dragaš

Investment banker


Market Overview